Qin, Duo (2010) Econometric Studies of Business Cycles in the History of Econometrics. Working Paper No.669. Department of Economics, Queen Mary, University of London.
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Alternative Location: http://www.econ.qmul.ac.uk/papers/wp/WP669.HTM
Abstract
This study examines the evolution of econometric research in business cycle analysis during the 1960-90 period. It shows how the research was dominated by an assimilation of the tradition of NBER business cycle analysis by the Haavelmo-Cowles Commission approach, catalysed by time-series statistical methods. Methodological consequences of the assimilation are critically evaluated in light of the meagre achievement of the research in predicting the current global recession.
Item Type: | Monographs and Working Papers (Working Paper) |
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SOAS Departments & Centres: | Departments and Subunits > Department of Economics Legacy Departments > Faculty of Law and Social Sciences > Department of Economics |
Date Deposited: | 09 Sep 2011 08:26 |
URI: | https://eprints.soas.ac.uk/id/eprint/12198 |
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