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Wang, Shaojian and Fang, Chuanglin and Sun, Laixiang and Su, Yongxian and Chen, Xiuzhi and Zhou, Chunshan and Feng, Kuishuang and Hubacek, Klaus (2018) 'Decarbonizing China’s Urban Agglomerations.' Annals of the American Association of Geographers. (Forthcoming)

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Abstract

China’s urban agglomerations contribute 64 percent to China’s energy-related CO2 emissions and thus play a vital role in determining the future of climate change. There is little information available about city-level energy consumption and CO2 emissions, thus we employ spatiotemporal modeling using DMSP/OLS nighttime light imagery. Our findings show that such agglomerations have in fact experienced a remarkable decline in CO2 emission intensity—from 0.43t/thousand yuan to 0.20t/thousand yuan between 1995 and 2013, which constitutes an average annual decline of 4.34 percent. Despite still very high CO2 intensities in western China, a convergence of CO2 intensities across the country has occurred over the last few decades. Using panel regression modeling we analyze differences in the decline of CO2 emission intensities due to regional differences in socioeconomic variables such as economic growth, population, economic structure, population density, and characteristics of urbanization. Factors that have hampered the decline of CO2 intensities are the ongoing industrialization that demands the increase in the production of heavy industry, in infrastructure investment, and in housing stock.

Item Type: Journal Article
SOAS Departments & Centres: Departments and Subunits > School of Finance & Management
ISSN: 24694452
Date Deposited: 02 Oct 2018 08:43
URI: http://eprints.soas.ac.uk/id/eprint/26379
Funders: Other

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