SOAS Research Online

Authored Books

Qin, Duo (2013) A History of Econometrics: the reformation from the 1970S. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Qin, Duo (1993) Formation of Econometrics: A historical perspective. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Edited Book or Journal Volume

Qin, Duo, ed. (2013) The Rise of Econometrics. Abingdon: Routledge. (Critical Concepts in Economics)

Bjerkholt, Olav and Qin, Duo, eds. (2010) A Dynamic Approach to Economic Theory: The Yale Lectures of Ragnar Frisch. London; New York: Routledge.

Book Chapters

Gilbert, C.L. and Qin, Duo (2007) 'Measurement in Econometrics: A Historical Perspective.' In: Boumans, Marcel, (ed.), Measurement in Economics: A Handbook. Amsterdam: Elsevier.

Gilbert, C.L. and Qin, Duo (2006) 'The first fifty years of modern econometrics.' In: Mills, T.C. and Patterson, K., (eds.), Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics: vol. 1: Econometric Theory. Basingstoke: Palgrave, pp. 117-155.

Morgan, Mary and Qin, Duo (2001) 'History of Econometrics.' In: Smelser, Neil J. and Baltes, Paul B., (eds.), Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences. Oxford: Pergamon, pp. 4065-4069.

Qin, Duo (2000) 'On macro modelling of transition economies: with special reference to the case of China.' In: Cook, Sarah, Yao, Shujie and Zhuang, Juzhong, (eds.), The Chinese Economy Under Transition. Basingstoke: MacMillan, pp. 243-256.

Qin, Duo (1998) 'Bayesian Econometric Methodology.' In: Davis, John B., Hands, D.W. and Maki, U, (eds.), The Handbook of Economic Methodology. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, pp. 33-36.

Journal Article

Qin, Duo, van Huellen, Sophie, Wang, Qing Chao and Moraitis, Thanos (2022) 'Algorithmic Modelling of Financial Conditions for Macro Predictive Purposes: Pilot Application to USA Data.' Econometrics, 10 (2). e22.

van Huellen, Sophie, Qin, Duo, Lu, Shan, Wang, Huiwen, Wang, Qing Chao and Moraitis, Thanos (2022) 'Modelling Opportunity Cost Effects in Money Demand due to Openness.' International Journal of Finance and Economics, 27 (1). pp. 697-744.

van Huellen, Sophie and Qin, Duo (2019) 'Compulsory Schooling and Returns to Education: A Re-Examination.' Econometrics, 7 (3). p. 36.

Qin, Duo (2018) 'Let's take the bias out of econometrics.' Journal of Economic Methodology, 26 (2). pp. 81-98.

Qin, Duo, van Huellen, Sophie and Wang, Qing Chao (2016) 'How Credible Are Shrinking Wage Elasticities of Married Women Labour Supply?' Econometrics, 4 (1). pp. 1-31.

Qin, Duo (2015) 'Consolidation of the Haavelmo-Cowles Commission Research Program.' Econometric Theory, 31 (2). pp. 275-293.

Qin, Duo (2015) 'Resurgence of the Endogeneity-Backed Instrumental Variable Methods.' Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 9 (2015-7). pp. 1-35.

Qin, Duo and Liu, Yimeng (2015) 'Modelling Scale Effect in Cross-section Data: The Case of Hedonic Price Regression.' Statistical Research, 32 (2). pp. 97-103.

Qin, Duo, Xu, Zhong and Zhang, Xuechun (2014) 'How Much Has Informal Credit Lending Responded to Monetary Policy in China? The Case of Wenzhou.' Journal of Asian Economics, 31-32. pp. 22-31.

Qin, Duo (2014) 'Inextricability of Autonomy and Confluence in Econometrics.' Oeconomia, 4 (3). pp. 321-341.

Qin, Duo and He, Xinhua (2013) 'Globalisation Effect on Inflation in the Great Moderation Era: New Evidence from G10 Countries.' Economics, 7 (25).

He, Xinhua, Qin, Duo and Liu, Yimeng (2012) 'Exchange rate misalignments: a comparison of China today against recent historical experiences of Japan, Germany, Singapore and Taiwan.' Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, 10 (3). pp. 247-266.

Qin, Duo and He, Xinhua (2011) 'Is the Chinese Currency Substantially Misaligned to Warrant Further Appreciation?' World Economy, 34 (8). pp. 1288-1307.

Qin, Duo (2011) 'Rise of VAR Modelling Approach.' Journal of Economic Surveys, 25 (1). pp. 156-174.

Qin, Duo (2011) 'The Phillips Curve from the Perspective of the History of Econometrics.' History of Political Economy, 43 (Suppl 1). pp. 283-308.

Qin, Duo and Tan, Tao (2009) 'How Much Intraregional Exchange Rate Variability Could a Currency Union Remove? The Case of ASEAN+3.' Journal of Banking and Finance, 33 (10). pp. 1793-1803.

Qin, Duo and Song, Haiyan (2009) 'Sources of investment inefficiency: The case of fixed-asset investment in China.' Journal of Development Economics, 90 (1). pp. 94-105.

Qin, Duo, Cagas, M.A., He, Xinhua, Ducanes, G., Liu, Rui and Liu, Shiguo (2009) 'Effects of income inequality on China’s economic growth.' Journal of Policy Modeling, 31 (1). pp. 69-86.

Qin, Duo, Cagas, M.A., Ducanes, G., Magtibay-Ramos, N. and Quising, P.F. (2008) 'Automatic leading indicators (ALIs) versus macro econometric structural models (MESMs): Comparison of inflation and GDP growth forecasting.' International Journal of Forecasting, 24 (3). pp. 399-413.

Qin, Duo (2008) 'Uncover Latent PPP by Dynamic Factor Error Correction Model (DF-ECM) Approach: Evidence from five OECD countries.' Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (7).

Qin, Duo, He, Xinhua, Liu, Rui, Liu, Shiguo, Magtibay-Ramos, N. and Quising, P.F. (2007) 'A Macroeconometric Model of the Chinese Economy.' Economic Modelling, 24 (5). pp. 814-822.

Qin, Duo, Cagas, M.A., Ducanes, G., Magtibay-Ramos, N. and Quising, P.F. (2006) 'Empirical Assessment of Sustainability and Feasibility of Government Debt: The Philippines Case.' Journal of Asian Economics, 17 (1). pp. 63-84.

Qin, Duo, Cagas, M.A., He, Xinhua and Quising, P.F. (2006) 'How Much Does Investment Drive Economic Growth in China?' Journal of Policy Modeling, 28 (7). pp. 751-774.

Qin, Duo (2006) 'Is China’s Rising Service Sector Leading to Cost Disease?' Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 17 (3). pp. 267-287.

Qin, Duo, Cagas, M.A., Ducanes, G., Magtibay-Ramos, N. and Quising, P.F. (2006) 'An econometric model of the Philippines economy.' Economic Modelling, 23 (1). pp. 45-55.

Qin, Duo, He, Xinhua, Liu, Shiguo and Quising, P.F. (2005) 'Modelling Monetary Transmission and Policy in People’s Republic of China.' Journal of Policy Modeling, 27 (2). pp. 157-175.

He, Xinhua and Qin, Duo (2004) 'Aggregate Investment in China: Some Empirical Evidence.' Asian Development Review, 21. pp. 99-117.

Qin, Duo (2003) 'Determinants of household savings in China and their role in quasi-money supply.' The Economics of Transition, 11 (3). pp. 513-537.

Qin, Duo (2001) 'How much does excess debt contribute to currency crisis? The case of Korea.' Journal of Asian Economics, 12 (1). pp. 87-104.

Qin, Duo and Gilbert, C.L. (2001) 'The error term in the history of time series econometrics.' Econometric Theory, 17 (2). pp. 424-450.

Qin, Duo (1998) 'Disequilibrium Policy Effects on Money Demand Relationship: Evidence from Three Economies (Korea, Singapore and Taiwan).' Journal of Development Economics, 57 (2). pp. 457-471.

Qin, Duo and Lu, Maozu (1998) 'Dynamic Structure of Disequilibrium Models.' Economics of Planning, 31 (1). pp. 15-27.

Qin, Duo (1996) 'Bayesian Econometrics: the first twenty years.' Econometric Theory, 12 (3). pp. 500-516.

Qin, Duo and Vanags, Alf (1996) 'Modelling the inflation process in transition economies: Empirical comparison of Poland, Hungary and Czech Republic.' Economics of Planning, 29 (3). pp. 147-168.

Qin, Duo (1994) 'Money Demand in China: the Effect of Economic Reform.' Journal of Asian Economics, 5 (2). pp. 253-271.

Qin, Duo (1991) 'Aggregate Consumption and Income in China: An Econometric Study.' Journal of Comparative Economics, 15 (1). pp. 132-141.

Qin, Duo (1989) 'Formalisation of Identification Theory.' Oxford Economic Papers, 41 (1). pp. 73-93.

Monographs and Working Papers

van Huellen, Sophie, Qin, Duo, Lu, Shan, Wang, Huiwen, Wang, Qing Chao and Moraitis, Thanos (2019) Modelling Opportunity Cost Effects in Money Demand due to Openness. London:

Qin, Duo, van Huellen, Sophie, Elshafie, Raghda, Liu, Yimeng and Moraitis, Thanos (2019) A Principled Approach to Assessing Missing-Wage Induced Selection Bias. Working Paper Series, No. 216:

Qin, Duo and Wang, Qing Chao (2016) Predictive Macro-Impacts of PLS-based Financial Conditions Indices: An Application to the USA. London: SOAS Department of Economics Working Paper Series; 201.

van Huellen, Sophie and Qin, Duo (2016) Compulsory Schooling and the Returns to Education: A Reexamination. SOAS Department of Economics Working Paper Series; 199.

Qin, Duo (2015) Time to Demystify Endogeneity Bias. London: Department of Economics, SOAS. (Unpublished)

Qin, Duo, van Huellen, Sophie and Wang, Qing Chao (2015) What Happens to Wage Elasticities When We Strip Playometrics? Revisiting Married Women Labour Supply Model. SOAS Department of Economics Working Paper Series, No. 190. London: SOAS University of London.

Qin, Duo and Liu, Yimeng (2013) Modelling Scale Effect in Cross-section Data: The Case of Hedonic Price Regression. SOAS Department of Economics Working Paper Series, No. 184.

Qin, Duo and Yanqun, Zhang (2013) A History of Polyvalent Structural Parameters: the Case of Instrument Variable Estimators. SOAS Department of Economics Working Paper Series, No. 183.

Qin, Duo and He, Xinhua (2012) Modelling the impact of aggregate financial shocks external to the Chinese economy. BOFIT Discussion Papers 52/2012. (Unpublished)

He, Xinhua, Qin, Duo and Liu, Yimeng (2011) Exchange rate misalignments: A comparison of China today against recent historical experiences of Japan, Germany, Singapore and Taiwan. Bank of Finland Institute of Economies in Transition.

Qin, Duo (2010) Is China’s currency substantially undervalued? Development Viewpoint 56. CDPR, School of Oriental and African Studies.

Qin, Duo (2010) Econometric Studies of Business Cycles in the History of Econometrics. Working Paper No.669. Department of Economics, Queen Mary, University of London.

Qin, Duo (2010) Long-term Nexus of Industrial Pollution and Income in China. Working Paper No.659. Department of Economics, Queen Mary, University of London.

Translations

van Huellen, Sophie and Qin, Duo, trans. (2012) O. Morgenstern, Excerpts from 'Wirtschaftsprognose: Eine Untersuchung ihrer Voraussetzungen und Möglichkeiten.' 1928, 20 (previously unpublished in English). The Rise of Econometrics . Abingdon; New York: Routledge.