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On the Causality between Trade Credits and Imports: Evidence and Possible Implication for Trade Penalties on Debt Defaults

Jinjarak, Yothin (2007) 'On the Causality between Trade Credits and Imports: Evidence and Possible Implication for Trade Penalties on Debt Defaults.' International Economic Journal, 21 (3). pp. 317-333.

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Abstract

This study investigates the association between trade credits and imports of developing countries. Made available by its creditors, the main function of trade credits is to facilitate cross-border transactions of goods and services. This study finds that the reliance of imports on trade credits varies across regions and income: towards the end of the 1990s, the trade credits to imports ratio ranged from 0.20 for East Asia & the Pacific to 0.87 for Africa, and from 0.24 for high-income countries to 0.79 for low-income countries. Applying panel and cross-country estimation, we find that past trade credits help predict current imports, but past imports do not alter the future path of trade credits. Further, the positive association between trade credits and imports is larger for countries more dependent upon trade credits. The findings support the notion that countries make debt repayments to avoid any potential disruption on the line of trade credits. We also find that the trade credits penalty could materialize within less than two quarters.

Item Type: Articles
SOAS Departments & Centres: Faculty of Law and Social Sciences > Department of Financial and Management Studies
DOI (Digital Object Identifier): 10.1080/10168730701568304
Depositing User: Yothin Jinjarak
Date Deposited: 05 Jul 2010 10:42
URI: http://eprints.soas.ac.uk/id/eprint/8746

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