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From the General to the Specific – Modelling Inflation in China

Reade, J. James and Volz, Ulrich (2011) 'From the General to the Specific – Modelling Inflation in China.' Applied Economics Quarterly, 57 (1). pp. 27-44.

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Abstract

This article uses automatic model selection procedures, based on the general-to-specific approach, to investigate inflation in China. A novelty of this article is the use of a technique called impulse indicator saturation which allows us to uncover instabilities and to specify a very general model and select down to a more specific model that best explains inflation in China. By and large, our findings suggest that China has been able to insulate itself against shocks from the US, although (maybe surprisingly) monetary growth in Europe seems to have an effect. Nonetheless, the main factors impacting Chinese inflation appear to be domestic, namely GDP growth and money growth.

Item Type: Articles
Keywords: Chinese inflation; dollar peg; automatic model selection procedure
SOAS Departments & Centres: Faculty of Law and Social Sciences > Department of Economics
ISSN: 16116607
DOI (Digital Object Identifier): 10.3790/aeq.57.1.27
Depositing User: Ulrich Volz
Date Deposited: 29 Jan 2013 14:17
URI: http://eprints.soas.ac.uk/id/eprint/14790

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